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This Week in Duke Basketball
March 21, 2006

  Coach K noted that the real problem with Duke's win over Southern was not fatigue, rust or players taking a step back.  Rather, he thought the younger members of his team were not playing in the present, instead still caught up in their ACC tournament victory.  That was especially evident in the play of Greg Paulus, who went from having laser-beam focus against Wake and BC to playing like Duke was spotted 50 points going into their match-up with a proud Southern club.  If there was a lesson to be learned in general from the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, it was that higher seeds had to respect the talent, cohesiveness and intensity of the lower seeds.   Lower seeds controlled the tempo of most of the games, and greater talent certainly didn't win out over the weekend.  It was unusual for Duke not to respect the tournament and their opponent, but it was clear that some of the youngsters expected the first round game to consist of lots of running and alley-oop dunks.  They got away from the sort of smart, tough play that has characterized Duke this season and reverted to one-on-one play.

(AP Photo/Gerry Broome)    The warning signs were certainly there in the first half, but Duke was able to play just well enough to keep the Jags at bay.  Duke was doing just enough at both ends of the floor, with the focus on Redick and Williams.  The Devils shot a solid 53% in the first half and held Southern to 44%.  Of course, it was disturbing that JJ Redick and Shelden Williams accounted for 33 of 39 first half points.   Also disturbing was Duke turning the ball over 8 times, including several late in the half when Duke should have been pulling away.

  Southern actually kept the game quite close in the early going, even holding a  10-8 lead and tying it up at 12-12 with fourteen minutes left in the half.  Williams had 8 of those 12 points.  The Devils went on a 10-2 run to get a little separation, with Redick hitting 2 threes and another short jumper, and Josh McRoberts getting a dunk thanks to Lee Melchionni.  With ten minutes to go in the half, Duke led 22-14.  Now, great Duke teams take mini-runs like that and build on them.  This team responded by floating through the next several minutes.  Redick and Williams kept the team going with 7 more points, but Southern pulled within 31-28 with four minutes left.

   To his credit, Paulus delivered a pass inside to Williams for a three point play, and then got him the ball again for some foul shots.  Redick hit another jumper with a minute left to cap off an 8-2 run to restore order, and Duke led 39-30 at the half.  Instead of coming out and putting their opponent away in the second half, the Devils didn't match Southern's intensity and wound up falling prey to a 7-1 run.  Coach K was understandably furious and called a timeout to pound some urgency into his team.  Wisely, the team went to Williams on the next play and he converted with his left hand.

   That triggered a 13-1 run that featured smothering defense, a couple of treys from JJ and another bucket from Redick.  Southern was no longer getting easy baskets from turnovers or stickbacks.  They still had a bit of fight left in them as they hit 3 straight threes to come as close as 58-47, but Duke was now operating smoothly on offense.  Redick finished them off with a three and a three point play, and Duke extended its defense and shut down the Jags completely.

   Redick and Williams had 29 points apiece and 58 of the team's 70 points.  McRoberts had a decent game with 8 points, 4 rebounds and 4 blocks.  Dockery, Paulus and Melchionni didn't score at all, and Nelson just had 2 free throws.  Duke was fortunate not to have any significant foul trouble or else someone would have been forced to do a lot more heavy lifting.  There have been other years when seniors were forced to take on a lot more of the scoring in the early rounds while the younger players found their footing.  JJ and Shelden were both up to the task here.  A look at the first round games for the 1 and 2 seeds in the tournament revealed that Duke was far from the only team that had trouble.  UConn was down 10 in the second half in their game, for example.  Duke didn't have a lot going for it in this game, but they rode what was working (its top two scorers) all the way to a win.REUTERS/Ellen Ozier

   Against an ultra-athletic George Washington team that continued to feel disrespected by their 8 seed, Duke would need a lot more.  And they'd need it especially from their two frosh stars.  Both have unique skills that can punish opponents, but only if Josh and Greg have the confidence and aggressiveness to use them, and the decision-making to know when to take risks.  GW played a draining overtime game against UNC-Wilmington in the first round, one where they barely pulled out a win against an inspired opponent.   They had to be a bit fatigued after that experience, though elated as well.  Of course, though Duke was never in any real danger against Southern, it was not an easy game.  The team's energy was low, and the fact that the game didn't end until after midnight certainly didn't help.  A number of the players didn't get to bed til quite late, so both teams were probably about even in terms of exhaustion.  GW was a bit higher emotionally, and Duke a bit lower--the perfect opportunity for Coach K to motivate his team.

   The Colonials were not a huge team, but had just the kind of personnel that had given Duke fits all season.   With three forwards and two guards, they had players who could penetrate and either attack the rim, dish off to cutters or kick out to shooters.  All season, Shelden has been forced to come out to meet players driving into the lane, often because someone blew a defensive rotation.   Few fans understand how much his shotblocking saved Duke's collective posterior this season, because he was the last line of defense for a spread-out defense that tried to force turnovers.  And of course, because he often had to come out to meet defenders, it put him in poor rebounding position, and no one was moving quickly enough to help him out.  The GW game would be a perfect testing ground to see how far Duke had come.

   The good news came early for the Blue Devils.  Greg Paulus was involved in 4 of Duke's first 5 scoring plays.  That included a three in transition by Redick on a pass from Greg, a fast break connection from Greg to Shelden, and 2 Paulus drives for scores.  GWU was in a make-or-break defense.  Duke turned the ball over plenty against Southern, and a full-court press wasn't a bad strategy.  Of course, this put Duke in a position where they either had to attack or get humiliated--there was no middle ground.  Put in that position, Paulus and McRoberts responded with aggressive plays that had immediate rewards.   Without a lot of size, GW double and even triple-teamed Shelden, but he had a nice early pass to McRoberts for a dunk.  Early on, Duke had a 13-7 lead.

   The only way GW was staying in the game early was with their offensive rebounding, getting 4 early stickback points.  GW turned a couple of Duke turnovers into points and came within 15-14.  Melchionni pulled up for a 15' jumper to break up a 7-2 run, and then knocked down a three.  Those were big plays, especially because they came from a player who had been struggling in so many games.   More impressive than those 5 points were 2 crucial defensive plays.  The first came when a GW player got the ball quickly and posted him up.  Lee somehow stood his ground and stripped the ball away.  Later in the half, GW's Carl Elliott had a perfect driving shot that Lee swatted out of bounds.  Duke would get a stop on the next possession to go into the half with a double-digit lead.

AP Photo/Chuck Burton   Lee's points helped spark a 19-4 run that put Duke firmly in control.  GW missed 9 shots and had 3 turnovers during that streak, as Williams and McRoberts took control of the boards.  Williams had 9 points and Redick 5 during the run.  Duke took control of the game through sheer hard work and defense.  At one point, McRoberts missed a free throw.  He knew it was off and went after his rebound, and then dished inside to Williams.   Shelden was unstoppable one-on-one inside against GW, especially when Pops Mensah-Bonsu was out of the game with foul trouble.  The Colonials went on a 6-1 in the last five minutes of the half as Duke turned the ball over a bit.  The defense was able prevent the damage from being too serious.  Indeed, Duke held GW to just 27% shooting in the half while the Devils shot 52%.

   Duke came out in the first three minutes of the second half and took over once again.  Redick drove and hit Sean Dockery for a three.  Once again, a role player stepped up and made a big play.  Redick then sank a three of his own to push Duke's lead up to 15.   The Colonials then threw on all sorts of presses on Duke (1-3-1 and 2-1-2), but Paulus confidently asked for the ball and used McRoberts as a safety valve.  Josh punished GW with his ballhandling.  During one sequence, he drove the lane and faked a behind-the-back pass (!) and then brought the ball back up for a runner.  Later, Dockery broke the press by not picking up his dribble and going straight to the basket.

   The Devils went up 51-33 four minutes into the half, but melted down for a few minutes.  The Devils turned the ball over 5 times in four minutes.  Melchionni also missed an easy dunk attempt and airballed a three.   Duke responded with an 11-3 run started by a Dockery free throw.  Paulus then found Redick for a three.  After that, Duke attacked the basket and made a living at the foul line.  With a 17 point lead with under eight minutes to go, Duke started to slow down the game a bit.

   GW couldn't cut significantly into the lead.  Redick found McRoberts for a dunk and hit foul shots the rest of the way.  Duke kept the score in double-digits at all times.  Williams was awesome with 17 points, 14 rebounds and 7 blocks.  McRoberts had 14 points, 13 rebounds, 2 blocks and 2 assists. Redick had 20, shooting 50% (though he had the unspeakable weird 2-7 line from the foul line).   After being outrebounded 10-2 in the early going, Duke was even on the boards by the end of the game.  The major negative for the game was 18 Duke turnovers (6 by Paulus), but the Devils weren't hurt by them because of their incredible defense.  Duke shut down penetration and used McRoberts as a fearsome defensive presence to go along with Shelden.  At times, it reminded me of last year when Shav Randolph played really tough defense next to Shelden. When those two were together and not in foul trouble, it was impossible to score inside on Duke.  They knew where to stand in relation to each other on the floor, and Shav was so good at coming over from the weak side to take a charge or block a shot.  Josh is not nearly the defender that Shav was, but he is playing to his strengths by relying on his quickness to make plays.  He's also learning to pick his spots with regard to challenging players physically.  McRoberts is at times a bit reckless, but he's learning to use his daring as a positive.  While it's important that both Paulus and McRoberts learn good decision-making (neither is great at valuing the ball), they do no good for the team if they're passive on the floor.  No one is going to double-team them, and they need to learn how to take advantage of the freedom that offers them.

  All-in-all, this was a solid win that still left plenty of room for improvement.  Duke could still get a little more offense from Nelson in particular, but also from Dockery.  The wait clearly did him some good, as his hand looked much better.  LSU will be a different sort of challenge, as Duke has to deal with size rather than speed or precision.  The Devils should hopefully be rested and hungry for more than they achieved last season.

   

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Rob is a thirty six year old Duke grad who's been an ACC fan since he was nine years old, when a young Duke team was beaten in the finals by Kentucky.  Since that time, he has been fascinated by the entire league and started writing volumes on it in rec.sport.basketball.college and other electronic forums in 1991.  Recently, he has been writing ACC analyses for Jazzy J's About.com site and regularly contributes features on women's basketball for the Duke Basketball Report.

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