War of Attrition
A thin Duke team defeated Clemson 92-78 in
Littlejohn on March 1st. It was a game that saw
Duke follow some familiar patterns but also break
out of some bad habits. The Devils established a
lead using an old weapon: the three pointer, with
Battier hitting an amazing 6-7 in the first half
alone. More impressively, Duke outboarded one of
the best rebounding teams in the league 40-36.
One unfortunate pattern that we saw repeated was
Duke's inability to hold large leads. The Devils
broke out to a 20 point second half lead...but
lost Nate James and Carlos Boozer to foul trouble
in the last five minutes, and the Tigers were
able to pressure Duke with good results. Still,
the Devils were able to hang on, thanks in great
part to two deep subs who contributed in some
unexpected ways. Nick Horvath can certainly shoot,
but he also made some high-pressure free throws.
And Andre Buckner came from deep obscurity to get
a clutch steal and big-time foul shots in the
house where his brother Greg tortured so many ACC
opponents.
The first seven minutes of the game were very
close. Clemson went to the boards for some second-
chance points and hit an early three, a good sign
for a team that makes fewer than a third of their
threes. Duke countered with a very active Boozer.
The balance of the game quickly changed with a 8-0
Shane Battier run, where he nailed a couple of
threes in succession with seemingly very little
effort. That put Duke up 16-9 and gave them their
first working margin. Clemson would continue to
challenge and at one point was matching Duke
possession-for-possession. Unfortunately, Clemson
was hitting tough drives while Duke bombed away
with 3 consecutive threes to go up 27-17. This
Tiger team is tough, however, and scrapped back
to within 5. But Duke went on a devastating 11-0
spanning three minutes of the half, snuffing out
the confidence the Tigers had gained by hanging
in there. Battier struck again for a couple of
more threes during this run, and had 7 for the
night--1 shy of the Duke record set by Will Avery.
Clemson came to their senses a bit and started to
attack again, but Duke held an intimidating 45-29.
This was a solid lead, but not unassailable.
Ready for the chance to bean an opponent into
submission, Duke came out hot to start the second
half, getting some easy inside baskets. But
Clemson finally showed some fire and sustained
offense, going on a 7-2 run to cut the lead to 15.
The Tigers were patient, knowing that if they
kept working hard, they'd be able to tire out the
Devils. Even better, two starting stalwarts were
starting to get into foul trouble as Boozer and
James saw a lot of bench time as a result. Coming
to Duke's rescue was the remarkable Jason
Williams, who scored 5 straight to put Duke up 61-46.
He and James played some great defense, forcing a
turnover which led to a slam. With eight minutes
left, Duke was up 18 and in good shape. The
Tigers continued to struggle, pulling within 12
or so but then being pushed back, thanks to a
timely Battier three or James rebound basket.
With about five minutes left, Clemson began
their last push.
Back-to-back Clemson threes brought them to
within 12, where they hovered until James fouled
out with over three minutes left. Six straight
points narrowed the gap to 8. Some foul shots
stretched the lead to 11 with two minutes left. A
three brought the Tigers back to within 8.
Moreover, Jason Williams missed a couple of free
throws, meaning that the Tigers had the ball and
a chance to really cut into the lead. But Andre
Buckner made a huge defensive play by staying in
his zone and waiting for a bad pass, snatching it
away from Ed Scott. Andre made his foul shots,
which started a parade of Devils going to the
line in the last couple of minutes. The "Hack-a-Duke"
category does not work very well, especially in
the last couple of minutes where Duke went 13-14.
Clemson kept fighting, but too many missed shots
doomed them at the end.
Duke has now won 19 straight ACC road games, a
completely unprecedented feat. This was their 14th
win of the year, giving them a 45-2 record in the
regular season over the past three years.
Carrawell and Battier are #3 and 4 in the ACC
scoring race. Battier is #6 in FG%, #2 in 3FG%, #1
in FT%, #4 in threes per game, #5 in blocks and #5
in steals. Carrawell is #5 in FG%, #5 in FT%, #8
in assists and #8 in blocks. Duke tops the ACC in
6 different categories (scoring, scoring margin,
3 FG%, FT%, turnover margin and threes per game.
Duke is second in three categories: FG%, blocked
shots and steals.
** Negatives:
1. Playing with fatigue. The classic Coach K
philsophy on fatigue is that a team should rest
during offense and go all-out on defense.
Sometimes, this team does the opposite, scoring
with ease but not being as aggressive as they
should on defense. This allows teams to come back,
gaining confidence and creating an offensive
rhythm.
2. Cutting off the drive. Even when Duke was at
full power, they allowed way too much penetration.
Clemson had trouble finishing (partly because of
good post defense), but they had their chances.
When Duke got tired, Clemson was able to
penetrate with ease.
3. Ball pressure. This goes back to fatigue and
Duke's thin lineup. The Devils aren't able to
attack the ball as aggressively as they might
like, because that level of pressure takes a lot
of energy. Instead, Duke picks their spots and
concentrates on the wings instead of the ball.
But this approach means that a player who can use
dribble penetration won't be as affected by this
means of attack.
** Positives:
1. Rebounding. Duke had a real commitment to
rebounding in this game after their poor recent
performances. Clemson is one of the best
rebounding teams in the league, and the Devils
fought them tooth and nail to get an overall
advantage. Boozer in particular was excellent,
getting extra shots for Duke early in the game
when the Devils had some trouble scoring.
Carrawell and Williams also did a fine job from
the guard position, with C'well going at the
boards and Williams snagging long rebounds.
2. Shooting. Battier was a frightening 7-10 from
three, while Horvath managed 2-3 shooting. Duke's
good shooting tailed off a bit (from over 50% to
47%), but the initial blast was energizing for
Duke and disheartening for Clemson.
3. Foul shooting under pressure. Duke was 20-22
in the second half and 11-11 down the stretch.
But it was kids like Buckner and Horvath who
really came through, guys who don't play much but
who relaxed and did their job when they were
called upon. Also, Carrawell almost never misses
when the game is on the line.
Player-By-Player Analysis:
** Boozer: Carlos had a solid game that was
marred only by foul trouble. He did a great job
challenging Clemson's big men and played some of
the best defense of his career. This was the
first time I've him scrapping for loose balls on
most every play, and it really boosted Duke's
overall energy level. He was especially
impressive in the first half as he scored Duke's
first points on free throws. He soon posted up
for another basket and smooth move. He also did a
fine job passing out of the post, finding
Carrawell for a long jumper. Most impressive was
his aggressiveness on the boards, getting 5 in
the opening minutes. He continued to attack the
basket in the second half, scoring on a layup,
but soon got a number of fouls called on him in a
row, forcing him to sit. Without him attacking
the basket, Duke's offense stagnated a bit, but
he made some bad decisions on how aggressively he
needed to be on defense and fouled out with over
five minutes left in the game. Duke really could
have used him in spreading out the offense and
getting easy baskets for him that way. Despite
the modest stats and foul trouble, Carlos is
really stepping up, particularly on defense. We'll
soon see if he's ready to deal with Brendan
Haywood.
** Battier: Shane found Zen once again and
practiced a number of brutal acts of ontological
terrorism upon the poor Tigers in the first half.
He missed a couple of easy shots early on but
then suddenly started to click with a nice
baseline jumper. That then snowballed into back-to-back
threes and a personal 8-0 run. Every time Clemson
tried to close the gap in the first half, Shane
would simply hit another three. Close within 5?
Three on a pass from Carrawell. Close within 7? A
three thanks to a Horvath pass. He hit 2 more
first-half threes that boosted Duke to a 16 point
lead. Shane was also nasty on defense, blocking
three shots that were controlled by Duke. Shane
has excellent shot-blocking touch, where he can
softly block a shot so that it spins into his own
hand. He can often grab the rebound just like
that. He also found Boozer on an excellent pass
in the post after drawing out a defender. Shane
was much quieter in the second half, hitting only
1 three (breaking up a 4-0 run). He continued to
smother Jurkunas on defense, shutting down an
important part of the Clemson offense. Shane was
also 3-4 from the foul line in the second half.
Battier was disappointed in his offensive
performance in the second half, where once again
he didn't really demand the ball. I sense he was
worried about shooting too much and hurting team
chemistry, but that wasn't really the proper time
to worry about that particular issue. When
Battier is hot and open, he needs to shoot early
and often.
** Carrawell: Once again assigned to guard the
tough Will Solomon, Chris did a great job in the
first half (witih Solomon missing something like
8 of his first 11 shots) but did not challenge
him as well in the second. His shooting (6-16)
also suffered a bit, especially from deep. Chris
did come out early and test his shot a little,
doing well from medium range. He drove and pulled
up for an awkward 15' and spotted up for a long
jumper just inside the three point line. He also
moved the ball well, finding Battier twice for
threes. Most impressive was a drive for a score
just before the half ran out, the kind of clutch
play he's been making all year. He also had an
emphatic block and made things tough on Solomon,
making him take shots he didn't want. The second
half was more of a struggle, as C'well only hit 2
of 5 and one was an easy cut. The other was a 15'
jumper, but Chris was able to contribute in other
ways. In addition to harrassing Solomon, Chris
picked up 3 boards and was 6-6 from the foul line
in crunch time, including hitting 2 after a 6-0
Clemson run and another pair when the Tigers cut
the lead to 9. This was by no means his greatest
game, but he was heady and poised throughout. He
didn't look confused or sluggish like against St.
John's in the second half. Chris will need to
start conserving his energy from now on, even if
it means that his stats might suffer a bit,
because he'll be playing 40 minutes a game most
every night.
** James: Nate had a number of silly fouls. He
picked up his third foul late in the second half
after going 0-3 from the field. Clearly, he was
pressing just too much. He relaxed a bit in the
second while picking up his defense, but a charge
really hurt him. He did score the first points of
the second half for Duke on a nice pass from
Carrawell. He also hit a big three as part of a
10-2 run, and had Duke's last field goal (with 3:31
left!). Fouling out hurt Duke's ability to
pressure the wings as much as they wanted. Nate
did have a solid 5 rebounds, part of a good group
effort.
** Williams: Another excellent game. As Jason has
made the rounds in the league, he's become more
confident in his second meetings with teams, and
is now fully prepared to step up. More than
anything, he's really developed a much better
sense of when to blend in and when to step up,
when to take the three and when to penetrate,
when to look for his own shot and when to find
another hot shooter. For example, in the first
half, Jason only took 5 shots, making 1 (a 17'
jumper). But he had 5 assists and 4 boards,
finding both Battier and Horvath twice for threes
and Carrawell for a dunk. In the second half,
Boozer's foul troubles and Battier's cold streak
meant that it was time for him to take over on
offense. He absolutely dominated the proceedings,
beginning with a drive and then delivering a
perfect pass to C'well on a cut. Clemson managed
to cut the lead to 10, but Jason responded by
nailing a three on a pullup and then driving on
the very next play. He displayed his energy by
scrapping for a steal, keeping control of the
ball, and then taking off a couple of steps over
the foul line for a one-handed slam and an 18-point
lead. He kept it up with a pass to Battier for
his only three of the half. While he did miss 3
of his first 4 foul shots when Clemson began to
pressure the Devils, he sank his last 4 to seal
the game. Jason did make two major mistakes: not
realizing that the shot clock hadn't reset after
a Duke shot went errant and he got a rebound,
forcing him to throw up a bad shot; and allowing
the ball to be stripped on one possession when
Clemson was using its press. To his credit, he
made up for this error by steadily handling the
pressure and making good decisions.
** Christensen: Matt gave some solid minutes in
the first half. He had a rebound basket that
helped spark an 11-0 Duke run, and his three
boards in only nine minutes showed a decent level
of productivity. He also played good defense. He
didn't play much in the second because Duke
wanted ballhandlers out there.
** Horvath: Nick did a pretty good job. He hit
the open threes and made a number of his foul
shots. He also got some tough rebounds. He hit
both of his threes in the first half and also
found Battier for a three. In general, he did a
fine job in passing the ball around, but also
knew when to shoot. He was 6-8 from the line in
the game, including 3-4 in the last two minutes.
In Boozer's absence he stepped in with three
second half boards and also a block. Against a
team with a lot of size, he held his own down low.
He even had a blocked shot. Nick won't help
against quick teams, but he'll provide matchup
problems for a lot of big teams with his shooting
ability.
** Buckner: When James fouled out, Coach K had
very few options left. With the Tigers pressing,
he couldn't put in Christensen or Sanders because
he needed a ballhandler. And the only player who
fit that bill was young Andre, the recruiting
afterthought. Fouled immediately upon entering
the game, he missed the front end of a one-and-one,
and the Tigers went on to score. With two minutes
left, Williams missed 2 free throws and the
Tigers were down only by 8. Buckner hung back and
snagged a bad pass, and was then fouled. He tried
to pass it to Williams, but he wasn't quick
enough. The Clemson players pointed at him, as if
to make sure that the "bad" player
would get to the line. Andre, in another one-and-
one, stared down the Tigers and hit both free
throws. He completely halted Clemson's momentum
as the Tigers never got closer than 8 the rest of
the way. He also did a nice job breakin the press
and making good decisions. Every reserve is told
to be ready at all times, because one never knows
when they'll ne needed. Andre showed that he was
ready, and acquitted himself well.
Reported
by Rob Clough,
tmc@duke.edu
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